NSW/VIC
NSW records 936 cases in the current period - the first day under 1k cases in more than three weeks. The 10-day average growth rate decreases to 0.9573 (from 0.9807) while the actual line continues below the predictive trend line and based on the 4th order polynomial, that trend line has a downward curve. Based on this model, NSW could well be back below 200 cases / day in about 10 days time.
VIC records 567 cases in the current period (another high for this outbreak) and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 1.0714 (from 1.0613) while the actual line moves back toward the predictive trend line. Based on this model, Victoria might well pass the 1k case mark in the next 10 days.
Victoria is at day 70 with
8,353 cases recorded this outbreak compared to
11,502 for the 2020 Victorian outbreak and
15,004 at the same point in NSW this year.